50PLO Top Set River Decision
Posted by TJ Serdar
Posted by TJ Serdar posted in Low Stakes
50PLO Top Set River Decision
Eff stacks 50.00
Hero raises KdKc8d6d to 1.50 UTG, 2 folds, BTN (38/5 14% 3b) min 3bets to 2.50, sb folds, Villain flats BB, I call
Flop KhJd4s(7.75)
Villain checks, I check, BTN checks
Tu 5s(7.75)
Villain leads 6.00, I raise 20.00, BTN folds, Villain calls
River 8s(47.75)
Villain (28.25) checks, Hero?
This might be an obvious check back, but I'm curious how often you expect to be beat here on the river? I'd expect most of his XsYs combos to lead shove the river along with some QT9 type bluffs, so I'd think it's more likely he either has 67** which I block, or some 2pr/set combos with 2pr/sets>>>>67>>flush.
My range doesn't seem that air heavy, like the flop wrap is all that I could potentially be bluffing with. This guy is also a pretty tough and reader and definitely makes some razor thin hero calls.
Thoughts?
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