50PLO: HU Turn Line
Posted by Lenny Seward
Posted by
Lenny Seward
posted in
Low Stakes
50PLO: HU Turn Line
SB: $58.95
BB: $50.50 (Hero)
BB: $50.50 (Hero)
SB is solid reg. Usually plays higher stakes. No significant reads.
SB Stats: 69/68, 2.8 AF, 5% 4Bet, Fold to PF 3Bet 13%, Fold to F CBet in 3Bet Pot+ 40%
BB Stats: 3Bet 32%, CBet in 3Bet Pot+ 50%
SB Stats: 69/68, 2.8 AF, 5% 4Bet, Fold to PF 3Bet 13%, Fold to F CBet in 3Bet Pot+ 40%
BB Stats: 3Bet 32%, CBet in 3Bet Pot+ 50%
Preflop
($0.75)
(2 Players)
Hero was dealt
J
Q
K
Q
SB raises to $1, Hero raises to $3, SB calls $2
SB raises to $1, Hero raises to $3, SB calls $2
Flop
($6.75)
Q
3
6
(2 Players)
Hero bets $3.75,
SB calls $3.75
His flop calling range is basically FD/SD with no pairs, maybe like FD+GS. Also, some one pair hands. I figured he would raise all his Wrap+FD, OESD+FD so I took those out.
Turn
($14.25)
4
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
SB bets $7.50,
Hero calls $7.50
I check and decide to let him bet all of his floats. Without any SD value he'll start to barrel here pretty frequently. Also, the 4 is a bad card for my range and good for his. I X/C because he can easily be betting here with just a FD or any one pair/two pair hand that wants to begin applying pressure to a weak range. I think if I X/R I am only going to get better to continue and fold out the hands I beat.
River
($29.25)
K
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
SB bets $20,
Hero calls $20
Same logic for the river after the FD misses.
Final Pot
SB has
8
2
A
5
SB
wins $68
Loading 10 Comments...
If you check, you could get into different scenarios:
1) He checks behind and river makes a flush. Now you cant possibly valuebet and if he bets, what do you do? Hes problably betting with all his range here and not only flushes.
2) He bets. If he bets, you have to be prepared to call down every brick river and I dont like doing guesses vs a competent reg. Also, if river hits a flush, you check and he will problably bet again with whole his range. Your check is inviting yourself into troublesome spots.
I think betting is by far the best alternative, especially when out of position.
river being not diamond, i cant see anything u can do but call
In general, in spots where our range is noticeably strong because of the line we take then we want to bet bigger, and when our range is weak we want to bet smaller (assuming we choose a uniform bet sizing). Here our range is strong, so might as well bomb it IMO.
Turn and river I like your thinking, assuming you know he'll fire turn with naked NFD. (FWIW, I think it's a mistake for him to fire turn with naked NFD 100% of the time.) If we don't think he'll fire so often I'd bet/call or bet/fold this sometimes.
I don't think he'd bet the naked NFD 100% of the time, but I think he will bet when checked too at least 70% of the time given that the 4 is bad card for me. If I did have a straight I'd probably go for a X/R because it looks like a bad card for me.
Turn really depends on your opponent. I would always check to opponents who fire two barrels regularly here, for obvious reasons. Most opponents will stab, but some will never bluff brick rivers, and won't value bet thinly (lower 2pr) on river either. Against them, I think there may be more value in just betting twice, charging their draws, and getting called by the 2pr hands that will check back river.
As played, easy river call. Top of your range, and it's just a good spot for him to bluff or occasionally VB worse.
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