$50PLO - Facing flop C/R

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$50PLO - Facing flop C/R

Villain plays 29 / 20 with a 3bet of 8,3% over 1,4k hands.
He is a player I normally don't tangle with.

Folds flop 61% (note that this is not fold 2 cbet).
Raise CB 20%.

Note: -Overvalues bottomset on straight-flops (bet/calls flop and calls PSB-shove on turn vs guy who had no reason to bluff + multiway pot)

SB: $53.50 (107 bb)

BB: $51.10 (102.2 bb)

UTG: $217.95 (435.9 bb)

Hero (MP): $58.57 (117.1 bb)

CO: $50.70 (101.4 bb)

BTN: $76.13 (152.3 bb)



Preflop: Hero is MP with K 8 6 K

UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.75, CO folds, BTN calls $1.75, SB folds, BB calls $1.25



Flop: ($5.50) J 7 5 (3 players)

BB checks, Hero bets $4, BTN folds, BB raises to $17.50, Hero calls $13.50


3way with fish in pot. I don't think he is ever bluffing pure air or shit+backdoors here. So its a range of valuehands and good combodraws.

Turn: ($40.50) A (2 players)

BB bets $31.85 and is all-in


*Hero needs 31% to profitably call OTT.

FLOP
board: Js7d5d
Hand Equity
Kc8h6sKh 34.72%
kk, 77, 55, 986:20%, j7:10%, addj* 65.28%

TURN
board: Js7d5dAs
Hand Equity
Kc8h6sKh 23.29%
kk, 77, 55, 986:20%, j7:10%, addj* 76.71%

Thoughts?*

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