$50 plo river decision with top two
Posted by midori
Posted by
midori
posted in
Low Stakes
$50 plo river decision with top two
BN: $152.45
SB: $42.45
BB: $50
HJ: $37.96
CO: $89.98 (Hero)
SB: $42.45
BB: $50
HJ: $37.96
CO: $89.98 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.75)
(5 Players)
Hero was dealt
6
A
Q
K
HJ folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB folds
HJ folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB folds
BTN is a reg with 27/21/8; SB seems a fishy reg with 49/20/9.
Flop
($5.00)
Q
A
2
(3 Players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $3.50,
BN calls $3.50,
SB calls $3.50
Standard/easy value bet. There's no FD so I opted to bet a bit smaller, but maybe I could have bet $4-4.5 because this is a 3way pot?
Turn
($15.50)
Q
A
2
9
(3 Players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $12,
BN calls $12,
SB folds
One of them, if not both, can have lots of KJT combos. I think SB or BTN would have raised QQ or 22 raises flop, and they most likely would 3bet AAxx pre, so it was very likely that I still have the best hand. The board is rainbow but lots of KJT combos have a pair too and will find a call, so I bet 4/5 pot. I think he can also call down with AQ/A2/A9.
River
($39.50)
Q
A
2
9
8
(2 Players)
Not a good card obv, KJT got there and A2/A9 might not find a call here. Check/folding seems kinda weak though, given that we're almost at the top of our range and only JT got there. At the same time, I don't think he will have a naked Ax very often at this point, and he won't turn them into a bluff very often.
What would be the best line?
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