$50 plo flopped FD, turned set and facing river pot donk

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

$50 plo flopped FD, turned set and facing river pot donk

SB: $32.89
BB: $67.98
HJ: $51.81
CO: $63.82
BN: $113.74 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt J Q 9 Q
HJ folds, CO raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.75, SB folds, BB calls $1.25
Villain seemed like a reg, with 27/18/9. CO was 67/22/0 but only 10 hands in, so not much reads.
Flop ($5.50) 4 2 K (3 Players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero checks
I decided to check back. I have an okay equity plus some backdoor outs as well, but can't really call any x/r. If this were a HU pot I could go either way, I guess?
Turn ($5.50) 4 2 K Q (3 Players)
BB bets $3, CO calls $3, Hero raises to $15, BB calls $12, CO folds
CO probably doesn't have a strong piece, as he didn't c-bet the flop and only flatted BB's donk on this turn. On the other hand, BB probably doesn't have a strong made hand either because he bet out really small in a 3-way pot.

That said, this is a spot where I would expect I can take it down a lot with turn raise, regardless of my holding. Of course, on this specific turn we have a very easy value raise, as KK is unlikely and we most likely have the best hand + good draw.

How's sizing?
River ($38.50) 4 2 K Q A (2 Players)
BB bets $36.77, Hero folds
This is weird. When BB bet/calls on turn, I think his range mostly consists of AKJT/AQJT, AJ53/AT53, A653, etc. with ss or dd quite often. I think KQ will just ship the turn, as well as 44 or maybe 22.

Yeah, both flush draws missed, but imo most of his FD will have something else, and A is obv a bad card for us both 653 and AJT got there. And if he is somehow betting with AA, I don't beat that anyway.

I tank folded, mainly because I couldn't come up with many bluffing combos that he will play this way, but it felt kinda weak and dirty to fold near the top of my range, so I thought I'd ask.

What do you think?
Final Pot
BB wins $36.77

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