50 PLO faced 3 barrels mistake call down
Posted by oboltys88
Posted by oboltys88 posted in Low Stakes
50 PLO faced 3 barrels mistake call down
CO: $64.04
BN: $50.16
SB: $57.19 (Hero)
BB: $48.24
UTG: $12.93
HJ: $50
BN: $50.16
SB: $57.19 (Hero)
BB: $48.24
UTG: $12.93
HJ: $50
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
3
K
Q
9
UTG folds, CO folds, BN raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.50, BB folds
UTG folds, CO folds, BN raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.50, BB folds
28% BTN open.
Flop
($4.00)
9
T
K
(3 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $2.80,
Hero calls $2.80
87% flop cbet but on this board he should have a plan for barreling because it hits my range pretty well (99,TT,j78) so lets put him on:
2PR>, OE>, GD+BNFD, TP1K+2BFD, OP+BFD, QQ, JJ
2PR>, OE>, GD+BNFD, TP1K+2BFD, OP+BFD, QQ, JJ
Turn
($9.60)
6
(3 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $9.60,
Hero calls $9.60
T2P>, 2PR+3NFD>, 2NFD>+GD>, QQ, JJ, Q8, Q7, J8, J7
River
($28.80)
5
(3 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $28.80,
Hero calls $28.80
SET> for value, TP<< as a bluff
value - 90% air - 10%
Conclusion : i should fold my bluffcatchers 100% of the time.
Edit : wrong.
After i added blockers into his ranges i got
value 60% air 40% on the river.
Now its a complicated spot because generally i should fold aplha hands that beat a bluff where aplha is 1/2=0.5. My range however consists not only of BC. I can have 78 that beats a lot of his value bets. I can have KK which beats TT,99. And i don't know if he's balanced with this size between all value hands.
value - 90% air - 10%
Conclusion : i should fold my bluffcatchers 100% of the time.
Edit : wrong.
After i added blockers into his ranges i got
value 60% air 40% on the river.
Now its a complicated spot because generally i should fold aplha hands that beat a bluff where aplha is 1/2=0.5. My range however consists not only of BC. I can have 78 that beats a lot of his value bets. I can have KK which beats TT,99. And i don't know if he's balanced with this size between all value hands.
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