50 PLO 3b Pot OOP Turn Decision
Posted by TJ Serdar
Posted by
TJ Serdar
posted in
Low Stakes
50 PLO 3b Pot OOP Turn Decision
25/50 PLO EFf satcks 75.00
Villains 26/16 over 910 hands. He plays pretty tough postflop, has good c-bet frequencies and hand reads pretty well. He's opening 24% from MP, so I felt obligated to 3bet this hand. He's also is pretty floaty IP. I have been bet/folding pretty frequently against him up to this point in 3b pots, and I think that effects my turn decision here somewhat.
UTG folds, MP raises to 1.75, CO folds, BTN folds, I 3b AsKc9c8d to 5.75, BB folds, MP calls
Flop 9h5s2c(12.00) 69.25 eff
I 8.00, MP calls
Tu Ts 28.00 61.25 in stacks.
I?
So, I could see our viable option on this turn being b/f, ch/f, ch/ca-lead spades as a bluff. If I choose to ch/ca I'm not really sure how frequently my A9 is good on the turns, and which rivers I can bluff catch or ch/f. So, because of that, I'm leaning towards b/f or ch/f. slightly more than ch/ca.
Merits to betting are a) protection, b) potentially barrel off on spade, Q,J,7 rivers and bluff catch when I make 2prs+. Probably barrel off on 2-4 as well, c) This turn card is pretty good for my perceived range and I have a 9, discounting his T9** combos a bit. Negatives are he has seen me bet/fold a lot and if I bet something like 18 he has a really profitable turn jam if I'm folding there with any type of frequency.
Merits to ch/f are a) sometimes it goes ch/ch and I get to see a river, potentially w/ the best hand, b) this hand is near the bottom of my range, but has a small amt of SD value, so putting it in my turn ch/f range is OK from a theoretical sense.
Thoughts on all streets and plan for the turn?
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