50 HU bottom set on [K6]4 in 3bet pot 200bb deep

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50 HU bottom set on [K6]4 in 3bet pot 200bb deep

BB: $124.49
SB: $108.91 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt A 4 4 5
Hero raises to $1.25, BB raises to $4, Hero calls $3
Flop ($9.00) 4 6 K (2 Players)
BB bets $8.60, Hero raises to $26.25, BB raises to $36.40

Kind of a disgusting spot. I was gonna call the flop but then thought it would be nice to get him to call my flop raise with some combo hand that has 28% equity v my hand and then get it in on safe turn. So i was mostly hoping he would call my raise not expecting to get reraised very often. Now when he raises small like that it almost says that he's at the top top of his range and i'm not doing very good versus top 15% of his flop cbetting range. On the other hand raise/folding bottom set is probably pretty exploitable. Having Ah also means he's more likely to have a SET rather than strong WR+FD or 2pr + NFD type hands.

3 Comments

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SatayIsAwesome 11 years ago

I think the theme of today has been reads, but assuming he's somewhat competent, i know it looks like a set but he's giving you such a good price on a potential flush draw, so when a generic player does this, to me i it feels like he has some sort of flush draw, wether or not he has a FD with a set i dont know.. 

When he 3 bets pre and 4 bets raises flop, i feel it's actually mostly hands like JQ9Khh or KJ6x double suited, maybe even KQQx, AAKx with hearts,  i think a big portion of what he has is a decent k, with hearts or AAQx with the Qx being hearts less likely as you have 1 of the A's but still, then there's the AA53hhdd or QQ53hhdd , JJ53hhdd... 

At such a good price calling the flop i think is fine... On all non 3,7,A's and heart turns i think you're beating enough of his range that you can probably, i think maybe (lol) bet/get it in... 

Hope that made sense, like always if it didn't or I'm wrong let me know :) 

TJ Serdar 11 years ago

Am I crazy for keeping this hand in my call/call/decide range this deep?  I think @ 100bb you can raise/call and just not really care what your up against, but as stacks become deeper and ranges become more narrow and stronger, this becomes kind of gross getting in 200bb with bottom set here.  Also the fact that you hold the Ah is hurting you.

I'd be curious if you give him (SET,2pr_13>+(fd,oe),WR+FD) how your doing.

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