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50 HU a boat as a bluffcatch on the river in 3b pot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

50 HU a boat as a bluffcatch on the river in 3b pot

SB: $57.05 (Hero)
BB: $56.70
He was 3betting around 45% and playing reasonably aggro.
Preflop ($0.75) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt 6 9 T 3
Hero raises to $0.75, BB raises to $2.50, Hero calls $2
Flop ($6.00) 6 6 A (2 Players)
BB bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50
Here i expect him to bet almost his entire range like that
Turn ($13.00) 9 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $8.55, BB raises to $17.10, Hero calls $8.55
Here sometimes he would just bet turn as a bluff but min x/r can also be a bluff. Maybe he expects me to fold my flushes. And some of AA combos he would just 3barrel so it's more like A6xx,99xx for value and some % of bluffs.
River ($47.20) K (2 Players)
BB bets $33.10
Here i think he shuts down with some % of his turn bluffs coz he's not a maniac and bets like this w/ all of his value from turn. So it all comes down to estimating that frequency of turn bluff and how often he shuts down on the river which i have no idea really.

3 Comments

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lofigr 12 years ago
Is he check/raising turn to maximize profit as his river leading shove would be just perfect whilst with his turn 3/4 pot bet + 3/4 pot bet on river he doesn't get same value as he played turn/river in this hand?
I think he wouldn't lead the river if he doesn't have full house as for him it's the same whether u have flush or weaker full (he counts on that) - which u do have and btw u have the worst possible full house on the board.
Seems to me like u did not have any plan for river by calling his turn re-raise as by not-shoving you just postponed your final decision that caught u on river ( + u gave him extra $8,55 + u gave him free card for his possible 68KK, 6JQKhh).
STAV 12 years ago
Given his line Im never folding river here and he has KKxx so be it. Isnt there a chance hes value betting worse aka KhxH

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