4bp IP, What to think about on rivers (exploitative)

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4bp IP, What to think about on rivers (exploitative)

BN: $392.40 (Hero)
SB: $123.71
BB: $389.72
UTG: $431.44
HJ: $57.65
CO: $438.85
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 3 4 7 5
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $4, Hero raises to $15, SB folds, BB folds, CO raises to $48, Hero calls $33
Flop ($103.00) Q 7 3 (2 Players)
CO bets $80, Hero calls $80
Turn ($263.00) Q 7 3 T (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero checks
River ($263.00) Q 7 3 T J (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero bets $138, CO folds
Final Pot
Hero wins $256.20
I always question whether my thought process is good in these river spots and would very much like others opinions. Here is what goes through my head....
Reads on Villain: Not much, He is playing (2) 1/2 Zoom Tables, had opened 1 of 6 pots, has not limped. Seeing that I have no hands on him I assume he is not likely to be very sophisticated or tricky.
1- I have some SD value, but might have more value by bluffing
2- I think that he very rarely is trying to induce, because he thinks I will check back very often.
3- I think that he might think that I can have a lot of non nut flushes.
4- I think that he might think that I would have bluffed with my weaker hands OTT.
5- I think that he thinks that I won't turn any 2p into bluffs.
I SHOULD BLUFF
6- How much should I bet to rep the hands that I want to and get him to fold the hands that I want him to (2p).

Interested to hear (or read rather) your thoughts...and I just noticed that no math/numbers are in any of my thoughts. This might be a leak/problem.
Ted

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