3bet pot turn CRAI w/ OP+2PR+2NFD
Posted by oboltys88
Posted by
oboltys88
posted in
Low Stakes
3bet pot turn CRAI w/ OP+2PR+2NFD
CO: $0
BN: $20
SB: $25.56 (Hero)
BB: $20
UTG: $25.16
LJ: $38.61
HJ: $21.32
BN: $20
SB: $25.56 (Hero)
BB: $20
UTG: $25.16
LJ: $38.61
HJ: $21.32
Preflop
($0.30)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
T
K
6
UTG folds, LJ raises to $0.70, HJ folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.20, BB folds, LJ calls $1.60
UTG folds, LJ raises to $0.70, HJ folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.20, BB folds, LJ calls $1.60
Villain is opening 22% from this position, not folding to 3bets and 4bets 6%.
Flop
($4.80)
T
8
5
(2 Players)
Hero bets $2.40,
LJ calls $2.40
He is not very aggressive so i assume he might call some 85,T5 as well as a very wide range:
(TP>, PR+BFD, PR+GD>, 2BFD+GD>, WR, OE>)-(T2P, SET, PR+WR)
which makes up 75% of his range
(TP>, PR+BFD, PR+GD>, 2BFD+GD>, WR, OE>)-(T2P, SET, PR+WR)
which makes up 75% of his range
Turn
($9.60)
6
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
LJ bets $4.80,
Hero raises to $20.86,
LJ folds
I think he bets following range:
2PR+FD, ST, SET, NFD, FD+OE>
which is 25% of his flop calling range
And bet/calls following range:
ST, SET, 2PR+2NFD>, NFD+OE>
which is 56% of his betting range.
Then our equity when all-in is 33%. So
ev = 0.44*($14.4)+0.56*0.33*($46)+0.56*0.66(-$21) = 6.3+8.5-7.8 = $7 = 35bb
2PR+FD, ST, SET, NFD, FD+OE>
which is 25% of his flop calling range
And bet/calls following range:
ST, SET, 2PR+2NFD>, NFD+OE>
which is 56% of his betting range.
Then our equity when all-in is 33%. So
ev = 0.44*($14.4)+0.56*0.33*($46)+0.56*0.66(-$21) = 6.3+8.5-7.8 = $7 = 35bb
Final Pot
Hero
wins $34.30
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