3bet pot BvB - can we valueshove river?
Posted by EdgeKing
Posted by
EdgeKing
posted in
Low Stakes
3bet pot BvB - can we valueshove river?
BN: $21.22
SB: $49.51
BB: $50.75 (Hero)
UTG: $78.99
HJ: $194.85
CO: $51.88
SB: $49.51
BB: $50.75 (Hero)
UTG: $78.99
HJ: $194.85
CO: $51.88
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
A
A
7
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, SB calls $3
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, SB calls $3
Flop
($9.75)
8
K
4
(2 Players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $4.90,
SB calls $4.90
Turn
($19.55)
8
K
4
4
(2 Players)
SB checks,
Hero checks
River
($19.55)
8
K
4
4
8
(2 Players)
SB bets $15.15
Villain is recreational LAG, opens SB 38% while openlimping 25% of his SBs as well. 4bet vs BvB 3bet seems reasonable but no sample.
OTF he folds a fairly low amount in 3bet pot, also c/r 30%, so his c/c range is fairly weak (or possibly polarized), which is one of the reasons I decided to cb this turn as there are no real draws out there as well. The fact hat his river probe is at >70% over a decent sample also speaks for it.
Now the question to me becomes whether we can valueshove the river with A8 here or is it to thin? Given his probe and his fold2flop cbet in 3bet pot he can be betting all 8x and 4x, but i'm not sure whether he calls all of them if I shove. If I shove he'd get pretty much exactly 3:1 there.
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