3b Pot Turn Decision w/ The Effective Nuts
Posted by TJ Serdar
Posted by TJ Serdar posted in Low Stakes
3b Pot Turn Decision w/ The Effective Nuts
Villain is a regular, running 26/17 over 8k hands. Opening 20% from Hij, F 3b 14% overall, 4bet 10.4% overall. He does some odd stuff postflop OOP in 3bet pots like ch/ca donk leading. My image against him is pretty bad, in close spots he tends to err on the side of not believing me. My overall btn 3b is ~15%.
So Pre I'm experimenting with some sizing stuff. I think flop is a clear b/ca. His ch/ca range isn't very protected, I feel like most of his KQ+ combos just ch/shove flop and he has so few K4's. Turn seems like a clear bet for value vs worse Kx or potentially get calls or to induce shoves from QJT/JT9 type stuff. Once he raises to 22.00 with 18.75 behind, I'm unsure of the best play here.
If I shove, he gives up w/ all of his bluffs. If I call, it's pretty much impossible for me to have total air.
Thoughts?
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