3/6 HU Turn Spot
Posted by TJ Serdar
Posted by TJ Serdar posted in Mid Stakes
3/6 HU Turn Spot
http://wt.ag/142XBYd
Villain is a tough reg who I've generally gotten the best of over our
extensive history together. He seems to fall on the over aggro side.
He's opening ~85-90% of btns HU for varying sizings, which I don't think
are balanced, but c-betting with a decent frequency with a linear range
of say the top 35% of his range, and the best 15% of his air to bluff
with, and checking back the middling stuff/worst air. His fold c-bet to
x/r is 41% over a large sample, he folds around 44% of turns, and about
64% of rivers. However, he does seem to bluff catch a lot when I rep a
polarized range either with my sizing or just my range in general.
I'm 3betting around 20-25% and calling opens pretty frequently. I'm
x/ring ~20% on flops over our history and I think he perceives my range
as a lot more air than value, which it had been in the past. Ex: I
hadn't been x/r'ing KJ96 on 963r, but I'd be x/r'ing pretty much any
gutter+bdfd. Also, he thinks I'm on the cally side after seizing the
initiative on the flop then giving it up on later streets.
Onto the hand. I think flop is standard as this is one of the best
combos for us to x/r flop with. We can continue betting on any spade
any any card 3-T, probably bet an A to. Not sure about K,Q,J, those
might be bad for us. Thoughts on that?
The turn gets more interesting as we hit the nut card for our hand. I
opted to bet just b/c all of my air here would continue betting(stuff
like JT85) and I think villain has a lot of pr+oe, 2pr+gutter that will
peel again. So I think turn is OK. My primary question is, how should
we be approaching this turn with other hands in our range, say with
sets+no blockers, or hands like 9654? Does our overall range want to be
polarized or depolarized? What types of questions should I be asking
myself about villain's range when these texture changing turns and
rivers roll off?
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