3 bet pot, check back turn or double barrel?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

3 bet pot, check back turn or double barrel?

BN: $961.96
SB: $221.76
BB: $360.49
UTG: $248.20
HJ: $202.15
CO: $1181.44 (Hero)
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 6 Q T K
UTG raises to $6, HJ folds, Hero raises to $21, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $15
Flop ($45.00) 7 8 A (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $30, UTG calls $30
Turn ($105.00) 7 8 A 5 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $78, UTG raises to $197.20, and is all in, Hero calls $119.20
River ($499.40) 7 8 A 5 5 (2 Players)
Final Pot
UTG has A 7 J 2 Hero has 6 Q T K UTG wins $496.60

Wasn't sure about this turn spot. I think the hand up to the turn is fairly standard and uncontroversial. Who bet-calls the turn and who favors a check back?

Some arguments for bet-calling:

1. We still have some fold equity vs Axxx hands that peeled the flop and haven't hit two pair on the turn.

2. If he peeled a mediocre straight draw without a flush draw we should be able to fold those out

3. Our hand doesn't have much implied odds and there might even be reverse implied odds on a 9

Some arguments against bet-calling:

1. We have the Kh and Qh which tilts his hand combos away from draws and more towards Axxx hands.

2. We only have around 25% when shoved on and the SPR is still fairly high at 2. We would be getting the right odds to call his jam once we bet, but before betting we would need 40%.

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