2FDs vs raiseOTT. need help in math

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

2FDs vs raiseOTT. need help in math

BB: $86.34
HJ: $48.35
CO: $71.76
BN: $50 (Hero)
SB: $102.56
Preflop ($0.75) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 4 6 5
HJ raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB folds
Flop ($5.00) 8 6 9 (3 Players)
SB checks, HJ checks, Hero bets $3.90, SB folds, HJ calls $3.90
Turn ($12.80) 8 6 9 Q (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets $8.50, HJ raises to $37.72, Hero raises to $44.60, and is all in, HJ calls $5.23, and is all in

HJ 59\31. 30\30\26 aggr by street. wtsd 25%

my initial question was whether it worth taking gamble or not, as we're 40% vs str8 without redraw (I do not expect to see anything by straight here, mb some combos QQ+NFD, but I guess it shouldnt effect his range that hard)

but counting pot-odds I got like we need 17% to call for his entire stack, that cannot be correct obv.

for calc equity needed I use call size \ potsize + (2*potsize) is it correct? checked it twice, it still incorrect. 

could someone help to count it?



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