25PLO: Turn Play
Posted by Lenny Seward
Posted by
Lenny Seward
posted in
Low Stakes
25PLO: Turn Play
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
Hero (SB): 100 BB 26/22, 15% 3Bet, AF 4.3
BB: 100 BB
CO: 268.68 BB
BTN: 120.92 BB 58/41, BTN Open 60%, Fold BTN Open to 3Bet 2%, AF 1.9, Fold to Flop CBet in 3Bet Pot 43%
Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 8h Ts As Jc
fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 7 BB, fold, BTN calls 5 BB
Flop: (15 BB, 2 players) 7s 4h Ah
Hero bets 12 BB, BTN calls 12 BB
Turn: (39 BB, 2 players) Qs
Hero bets 39 BB, BTN raises to 101.92 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 42 BB and is all-in
River: (201 BB, 2 players) Tc
__________________________________________________________________________________________
Pre-flop: I have a skill and equity edge against him and I don't want to flat and be OOP to two people with a loose BB left to act.
Flop: I flop okay. Standard CBet. His flop calling range is listed in the PPT simulation. I don't think he has a set or A7 often because I've seen him fast play strong hands on draw heavy flops twice.
Turn: Is the best play to Pot/C? IMO, it is, but would like to see if other agree. SPR is just over 2 and he has a pretty wide/weak range here. If I X/C I probably won't get paid when I hit and he can bluff me with missed draws because, unimproved, I'm not calling a river shove. X/R is an option, but I think Pot/C is better because it maximizes my fold equity. Here is my equity sim with his range OTT: http://propokertools.com/simulations/show?b=Ah+7s+4h+Qs&g=oh&h1=AsJcTs8h&h2=A%5BK-8%5D%5BK-8%5D%5BK-8%5D%3Axx%3A60%25%21RR%2C+A4%3Axx%3A60%25%2C+hhA%3A60%25%2C+865%3Axx%3A60%25%2C+653%3Axx%3A60%25%2C+532%3Axx%3A60%25%2C+Khh%3A60%25&s=generic
Do you think my assessment of his range OTT is correct?
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