25NL zoom Dillema? or easy snap?

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25NL zoom Dillema? or easy snap?

BN: $17.53
SB: $23.32
BB: $38.09
UTG: $40.42
HJ: $43.71 (Hero)
CO: $129.82
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 T 9 Q
UTG raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $0.25
Flop ($1.60) 8 J K (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG bets $1, Hero raises to $3.60, BB calls $3.60, UTG raises to $15.93, Hero folds, BB folds
Final Pot
UTG wins $11.84

Well, you might find this nitty or stupid, i'm 48% percent good here, and 42% percent if I don't hit the turn.

basicely, his range his KJ, 88, JJ, KK, 

no way he has a flush draw here, like never especially when BB calls, probably had an A high flush draw which kinda took some of my outs I guess.

I mean, I don't look that strong here with 16 clean outs but we are 200bb here and I had to shove since I don't have that much less equity on the turn.

when I call here I make more money than he does when he shoves, so basicely I should be shoving this everytime?

I basicely don't have alot of hands on this guy, nearly 800, I don't have any shoving range on the flop for him, only 3bet which is 8 times sets, and 13 times two pair.

That's it, would you call this all day?

5 Comments

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NoobYourself 11 years, 9 months ago

Why don't you just call the flop ? Multiway, you are happy to let HJ call.

You need a plan before you make a move.

If you raise/fold you just turn all this equity into a bluff, that's a waste. If you don't like to raise/broke, then just call.

Nadav Bar Orian 11 years, 9 months ago

i;m HJ, you mean BB?

Well, I usually don't get raised in these spots that often, i'm raising for value, if I just call I don't get paid that much..

but w/e can go either way

Tom Coldwell 11 years, 9 months ago

Raise/folding this much equity is basically always a catastrophe. One of the biggest secret leaks people have is folding their equity too often.

Gustavo Siciliano 11 years, 8 months ago

If we 4bet-shove the flop, we are risking $36.32 to win $45.12, so you need around 44% equity (if I'm not mistaken). Against the range you assigned to him, which is the worst-case scenario, you have 45% equity, making the play BE. Since I don't think we can 100% exclude FDs and even some other draws or an eventual random spazz, I'd just go with it. And as Tom said properly, raise/folding all this equity is very bad imo.

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