2/4 River sizing and frequency question from GTO perspective
Posted by Leszek Badurowicz
Posted by
Leszek Badurowicz
posted in
Mid Stakes
2/4 River sizing and frequency question from GTO perspective
BN: $0
SB: $1027.80 (Hero)
BB: $382
HJ: $899.40
CO: $372
SB: $1027.80 (Hero)
BB: $382
HJ: $899.40
CO: $372
Preflop
($6.00)
(4 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
7
T
K
HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $10, BB calls $8
HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $10, BB calls $8
Flop
($24.00)
9
Q
3
(2 Players)
Hero bets $15.60,
BB calls $15.60
Turn
($55.20)
5
(2 Players)
Hero bets $44,
BB calls $44
River
($143.20)
9
(2 Players)
Hero bets $116,
BB folds
Final Pot
BN
wins $141.20
,
BN
wins $116
Preflop his call somehow is capping his range. With 9.5% 3bet I expect him to 3bet BB vs SB much wider sth like 15% so when he just calls I can definitely exclude from his range most of premium hands and very good rundowns.
On the flop I decided to cbet because this board doesnt hit his calling range so great. He would 3bet hands that hit this board very hard like KQJT, QJT9, JT98 etc. In addition I should have some implied odds on the J.
Turn gives me additional GS so I decided to fire sec barrell.
River looks standard but I was thinking how to structure my range on the river against thinking player. As played he cant have a lot of boats in his range, apart from some random 93 and 95 type of hands. Basically 9xxx is top of his range in this spot and he should never fold in this spot as I could be on the missed draw as well. The aim of my river bet is to fold Qxxx. Also I don't have Q myself, thus increasing the chances he has Q himself.
The only hand I am afraid of is 9xxx, but in order to have 9xxx type of hand he will need to have exactly JT9x - and most of JT9 he should 3bet preflop. I assume that hands like KJ9, KT9 etc will fold on the turn and also I have some blockers to these types of hands.
The question is about sizing and betting AA,KK and AQ in this spot. I have 2 options here:
1) My SB open is 28%. If I am betting just my value range here which is:
QQ,Q9,99,33,A9,K9 16,65%
I can balance this by betting close to pot KJT,JT8,KT87,KJ87,KT76,KJ76 6,62% - I can also add here few AJT type of hands with no SD value. This way I will give villain 0 EV call with his bluffcatching range Q* and top range 9*.
2) What I can also do is add all AQ+ type of hands to my vbetting range
QQ,Q9,99,33,A9,K9,9,AA,KK,AQ : 48,71%
and bet more hands as a bluff KJT,JT8,KT87,KJ87,KT76,KJ76,JT!9 :12,74%
I am pretty sure I will have a little bit more of hands with no SD value here and my "value" to bluff ratio in this spot will be around 3:1 and therefore I can bet with whole range here 50% of the pot giving my opponent 0 EV call with bluffcatchers Q*.
I am not sure how should I structure my range in this type of spots - whether I should go more towards option 1 or 2 in this type of spot. Any comments welcome.
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