2/4 oop tough spot vs aggro reg
Posted by OnceItRun
Posted by
OnceItRun
posted in
Mid Stakes
2/4 oop tough spot vs aggro reg
CO: $537.26
BN: $536.58
SB: $260.28
BB: $209.19
HJ: $400.23 (Hero)
BN: $536.58
SB: $260.28
BB: $209.19
HJ: $400.23 (Hero)
Preflop
($6.00)
(5 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
A
5
8
Hero raises to $12, CO folds, BN calls $12, SB folds, BB folds
Hero raises to $12, CO folds, BN calls $12, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($30.00)
Q
6
7
(2 Players)
Hero bets $20,
BN raises to $58,
Hero calls $38
Turn
($146.00)
Q
6
7
6
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $98,
Hero calls $98
River
($342.00)
Q
6
7
6
Q
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $339.20
I have multiple decisions on this hand based on the way I played the hand.
1) Flop - I cbet here standard, expecting to get raised somewhat often by all his value range as well as a bunch of (semi) bluffs. So my plan was to either cbet/jam or cbet/call and check/jam most turns. Any line clearly better, thoughts on flop?
2) Turn - one of the very few cards I didn't have a plan on. Check/calling good? What if I didn't have spades?
3) River - mixed feelings about this river, as it reduces both his combos of boats as well as mine. Do you call?
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As played i fold the river
If Villain is raising flops a lot I think this would be a good hand to make a small 3bet / get it in. As played I do not think you can do anything different OTT and I would also tend toward folding OTR unless he 3barrels everytime (never gives up on a bluff) or you think he might suspect you fold a lot.
as played i fold the river, i find sizings today go for max value, (without playing him) id expect his bluffs to be of smaller sizes.
Q; Is Villain always 3betting high/medium rundowns in position?
JT98,T987,9876,8765.
- FLOP - Qh7s6c
AhAs8h5s - 48.12%
JT98,T987,9876,8765 - 51.88%
Preflop calling range, which will raise the flop
QQxx,QT98,Q987,9877
AhAs8h5s - 37.57%
QQxx,QJ98,QT98,Q987,9877 - 62.43%
Basically on the flop Hero is flipping vs a rundown range, and behind the "preflop calling range" (my assumption). There are a few combo's villain could bluff-raise the flop with, KJT8,KJ98, which has some equity, gutters,backdoors.
On the flop, it really depends on his preflop calling range, if I want to 3bet the flop.
- TURN - 6s
I think Villain will continu with both ranges, and putting pressure on HERO, either villain has improved HS/equity-wise. And the board got somewhat scary for AA,KK
- RIVER - Qd
I think the river is bad card to bluff, for villain because HERO range looks like Qxxx,KKxx,AAxx, both KK,AA combo's with spades, assuming HERO will fold the other combo's AA,KK combo's on the turn.
Why I think it's bad bluff card on the river
1) Expect villain to take his showdown value with Qx, it will be marginal to value shove with KQxx,QTxx.
2) Therefore it would be suicidal to bluff this card, because villain can almost always expect to get called by HERO, when HERO has like AQxx.
I would fold the river.
The normal thinking of reg on the river if he has a boat is to get max value from Qx/kk/aa as its now harder for him to have a boat
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