200plo river decision

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200plo river decision

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $296.54
SB: $152.25
BB: $329.78 (Hero)
UTG: $1134.26
MP: $200.00
CO: $740.51
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is BB with 8 4 J A
2 folds, CO calls $2.00, BN raises to $9.00, SB folds, Hero calls $7.00, CO calls $7.00
Flop ($28.00) 3 6 4
Hero checks, CO checks, BN checks
Turn ($28.00) 3 6 4 Q
Hero bets $21.00, CO folds, BN calls $21.00
River ($70.00) 3 6 4 Q A
Hero checks, BN bets $53.76, Hero folds
Final Pot BN wins $67.20
Rake is $2.80

CO is rec player, BU is good reg playing 29/21/7

OTR I think checking is best, thoughts? When i check and villain bets its hard to see what kinds of hands he could be bluffing with after he calls the turn. Is this a fold or a call?

2 Comments

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PermafLOat 10 years, 2 months ago

I'm not so sure this is a defend pre.

I really instinctually hate c/f river here but understand what you say that there's not a lot of hands he's bluffing here. And he could be checking back flop with Q or K high non paired spades.

Are you only folding river cuz his sizing? Because if you are c/f to most any bets... Leading river is far superior imo.

lolzoroflmao 10 years, 2 months ago

I thought i should call pre since there was a rec player in the pot, but i could be wrong. One reason why i am check folding here was because of his larger sizing. I didn't think he would be betting smaller flushes this size? And the other reason was ya because its hard for him to be bluffing.

If i were to bet the river myself what am i expecting him to call with? I'm not sure he would call with less then a flush. The only non flush hands he should have that possibly could call are qqxx q6ax, possibly some set that he checked back the flop (although i think he would bet that OTF, and there aren't that many flopped sets in his range pre i think?), and these hand probably fold river if i bet.

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