200bb deep linecheck incl. tough riverspot w/ capped range

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200bb deep linecheck incl. tough riverspot w/ capped range

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) CO: $37.40
BN: $50.00
SB: $117.79 (Hero)
BB: $139.57
UTG: $58.99
MP: $150.98
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with A 8 7 K
UTG raises to $1.50, MP folds, CO calls $1.50, BN folds, Hero calls $1.25, BB raises to $7.50, UTG calls $6.00, CO folds, Hero calls $6.00
Flop ($24.00) 7 9 5
Hero checks, BB bets $14.00, UTG folds, Hero calls $14.00
Turn ($52.00) 7 9 5 4
Hero checks, BB bets $33.00, Hero calls $33.00
River ($118.00) 7 9 5 4 A
Hero checks, BB bets $85.07 and is all in, Hero calls $63.29 and is all in

Villain is 19/14 yet 3bets 9,5%, total squeeze 10% (70), squeeze from blinds 8%.

In retrospect my hand is propably a very good candidate for a lead, I should have a range advantage here as well, yet not quit sure how great it plays without a NFD. Since I expect BB to not be cbetting very frequently it might get checked through a bunch which might play out better for my hand.

Given BB cbets here which I dont expect to happen very frequently I guess he is gonna have AA with NFD or some sort of JT97 stuff, also his rather small sizing doesnt appear as he wanted to protect much. My plan here is basically to jam every card that improves me but isn't a club since I expect AA+NFD a lot here which i perform kinda badly against OTF (33%), so basically a 7, 8, K and 6 are gonna be cards I gonna jam the turn on.

Turn, given his sizing I don't see myself folding, also the 4 opens some bluffing opportunities on a 3 for me (965 and 765 are well in my range).

River gets kinda funny, he jams pretty quickly after I check, I don't really see him (or anyone at 50PL for that matter) valuejamming AA with that timing, also given that I'm capped at propably twopairs and possibly some few sets I'm looking at what's propably the top of my range, also blocking an 8 and an A for his (potentual) valuerange.

Look forward to your comments :)

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