200bb big bluff vs 2villains
Posted by Mahowny
Posted by Mahowny posted in Mid Stakes
200bb big bluff vs 2villains
SB: $348.40
BB: $116.70
UTG: $53.99
HJ: $191.13 (Hero)
CO: $101.53
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, BN calls $3, SB calls $2.50, BB folds
What do you think about this hand ?
Villains are just tight, aggressive regs on 0.5/1 ZOOM (20/15/3 kind of stats).
First I'm not sure about turn call. Do you think it's profitable ? I didn't make the math but that would be interesting how minimum we have to bet on flush river to make this call EV+.
And second question what about river bluff ? I think bettor almost always has KK but since he didnt 3bet pf I don't think so he has many KKAQ hands. The caller's range is more mystery but I would say something like AQT, JJ, QJT + some flush draw. The key factor though for me was that he didn't bet out river. With so much in the pot I thought he's betting AQ like 80% at least to get value from Q9. I don't think 0.5/1 zoom is aggressive enough that he might anticipate bluff.
What are your toughts ?
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