20 PLO turn shove w/ TP1K+NF+OE after flop checked through
Posted by oboltys88
Posted by
oboltys88
posted in
Low Stakes
20 PLO turn shove w/ TP1K+NF+OE after flop checked through
BN: $20.99
SB: $24.93
BB: $20
UTG: $7.51
HJ: $25.36
CO: $38.56 (Hero)
SB: $24.93
BB: $20
UTG: $7.51
HJ: $25.36
CO: $38.56 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.30)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
A
T
9
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.70, Hero raises to $2.40, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $2.20, HJ calls $1.70
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.70, Hero raises to $2.40, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $2.20, HJ calls $1.70
40%-$4B13
Flop
($7.30)
7
4
3
(3 Players)
BB checks,
HJ checks,
Hero checks
Turn
($7.30)
8
(3 Players)
BB checks,
HJ bets $5.20,
Hero raises to $22.90,
BB folds,
HJ raises to $17.76,
Hero calls $0.06
Donk bet flop total 23%
CASE 1. Has a leading range
1.1 polarized leading range:
strong part 65+!FD 7.6%
weak part FD+2PR<<+!NFD 16%
which gives turn range
*-(65+!FD, FD+2PR<<+!NFD)
turn betting range:
SET>, FD+OE>, T2P, 2PR+FD, 2PR+OE> 15% eq. 63
turn stackoff range:
SET>, 2PR+(FD, OE>), NFD+OE> 78% eq. 66
ev = 0.78*0.66-23+0.78*0.33*(23+7.3)+0.22*12.5 = -11.8 + 7.8 + 2.8 = -$1.2 = -6bb
Conclusion 1: When he has a polarized leading range on the flop turn shove has ev = -6bb
1.2 linear leading range
ST=, 2PR+FD, NFD
turn betting range:
SET>, FD+OE>, T2P, 2PR+FD, 2PR+OE> 8% eq. 61
turn stackoff range:
SET>, 2PR+(FD, OE>), NFD+OE> 48% eq. 68
ev = 0.48*0.68*(-$23)+0.48*0.32*($30.3)+0.52*($12.5) = -7.5 + 4.6 + 6.5 = 3.6 = 18bb
Conclusion 2: When he has linear leading range on the flop turn shove has ev = 18bb
CASE 2. No flop leading range
turn betting range:
SET>, FD+OE>, T2P, 2PR+FD, 2PR+OE> 20 eq. 61
turn stackoff range:
SET>, 2PR+(FD, OE>), NFD+OE> 82% eq. 62
ev = 0.82*0.62*(-$23) + 0.82*0.38*($30.3)+0.18*($12.5) = -11.7 + 9.4 + 2.2 = -0.1 = -0.5bb
Conclusion 3: When he has no leading range on the flop turn shove has 0 EV.
CASE 1. Has a leading range
1.1 polarized leading range:
strong part 65+!FD 7.6%
weak part FD+2PR<<+!NFD 16%
which gives turn range
*-(65+!FD, FD+2PR<<+!NFD)
turn betting range:
SET>, FD+OE>, T2P, 2PR+FD, 2PR+OE> 15% eq. 63
turn stackoff range:
SET>, 2PR+(FD, OE>), NFD+OE> 78% eq. 66
ev = 0.78*0.66-23+0.78*0.33*(23+7.3)+0.22*12.5 = -11.8 + 7.8 + 2.8 = -$1.2 = -6bb
Conclusion 1: When he has a polarized leading range on the flop turn shove has ev = -6bb
1.2 linear leading range
ST=, 2PR+FD, NFD
turn betting range:
SET>, FD+OE>, T2P, 2PR+FD, 2PR+OE> 8% eq. 61
turn stackoff range:
SET>, 2PR+(FD, OE>), NFD+OE> 48% eq. 68
ev = 0.48*0.68*(-$23)+0.48*0.32*($30.3)+0.52*($12.5) = -7.5 + 4.6 + 6.5 = 3.6 = 18bb
Conclusion 2: When he has linear leading range on the flop turn shove has ev = 18bb
CASE 2. No flop leading range
turn betting range:
SET>, FD+OE>, T2P, 2PR+FD, 2PR+OE> 20 eq. 61
turn stackoff range:
SET>, 2PR+(FD, OE>), NFD+OE> 82% eq. 62
ev = 0.82*0.62*(-$23) + 0.82*0.38*($30.3)+0.18*($12.5) = -11.7 + 9.4 + 2.2 = -0.1 = -0.5bb
Conclusion 3: When he has no leading range on the flop turn shove has 0 EV.
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