20 PLO T2P faced 3 barrels in a srp on a semidry fd flop
Posted by oboltys88
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oboltys88
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Low Stakes
20 PLO T2P faced 3 barrels in a srp on a semidry fd flop
BB: $22.99
BN: $43.76
SB: $26.40 (Hero)
BN: $43.76
SB: $26.40 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.30)
(3 Players)
Hero was dealt
6
K
T
8
BN raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.50, BB folds
BN raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.50, BB folds
52%
Flop
($1.40)
K
5
7
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $0.98,
Hero calls $0.98
cbet flop 75%
GD>, TP>, MP+GD>, FD 75%
GD>, TP>, MP+GD>, FD 75%
Turn
($3.36)
8
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $2.60,
Hero calls $2.60
cbet turn 40%
T2P>, NFD, FD+OE>, 2PR+FD, PFD+TFD 58%
apparently his barreling frequency will be higher than usual on this turn card
T2P>, NFD, FD+OE>, 2PR+FD, PFD+TFD 58%
apparently his barreling frequency will be higher than usual on this turn card
River
($8.56)
2
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $6.60,
Hero calls $6.60
T2P> (value) 56%
MP<< (air) 11%
if he bluffs all his air
ev = 0.56*-6.6+0.11*(8.5+6.6) = -3.6 + 1.6 = -$2 = -20bb
case 2.
very loose turn barreling range
* 100% eq. 31
river
T2P> (value) 33%
MP<< (air) 12%
if he bluffs all his air
ev = 0.33*-6.6 + 0.12*(8.5+6.6) = -2.1 + 1.8 = -0.3 = -1.5bb
Conclusion: River call is -ev. In the best case of him barreling his whole range on the turn i lose 1.5bb. In the worst case i lose 20bb.
MP<< (air) 11%
if he bluffs all his air
ev = 0.56*-6.6+0.11*(8.5+6.6) = -3.6 + 1.6 = -$2 = -20bb
case 2.
very loose turn barreling range
* 100% eq. 31
river
T2P> (value) 33%
MP<< (air) 12%
if he bluffs all his air
ev = 0.33*-6.6 + 0.12*(8.5+6.6) = -2.1 + 1.8 = -0.3 = -1.5bb
Conclusion: River call is -ev. In the best case of him barreling his whole range on the turn i lose 1.5bb. In the worst case i lose 20bb.
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