Save up to 50% during The A-Game Plan Week
×

2-5 zoom 3bet pot peel or fold flop vs. big bet

Posted by

Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

2-5 zoom 3bet pot peel or fold flop vs. big bet

Blinds: $2.50/$5.00 (6 Players) BN: $500.00 (Hero)
SB: $441.30
BB: $2648.99
UTG: $538.32
MP: $1951.61
CO: $868.59
Preflop ($7.50) Hero is BN with K 5 J Q
3 folds, Hero raises to $17.50, SB folds, BB raises to $55.00, Hero calls $37.50
Flop ($112.50) T 7 5
BB bets $82.27, Hero calls $82.27
so we can stack off on any 5, 9, J, Q, K, (A)? and fd and have to fold on a 2,3,4,6,7,8,T non Diamonds and non spades. When we fold the turn we lose 82$ and on the good turns we risk 362 to win a pot of 1001. So now I need to figure out how much equity I have on various runouts when I can get it in? On the turn I need a Minimum of 36,1% equity to stack off, which I have about 50 % of the times vs. a AA only range.
http://propokertools.com/simulations/graph?b=ts7d5c&g=oh&h1=kdqsjd5s&h2=aa%2A%2A&s=generic
looking at the graph of the link it seems like at first glance I have about 50-55% equity on average vs. his range when we get it in on the turn. Is this total bullshit? :) Is there a good way to make a good/quick mathematical guess how much our average equity is on the turn once we get it in? So on 50% of the times we fold on turns and lose -82. The other 50% of the time we risk 362 to win 1001 and have an average equity of 52.5% (Do I have to substract the $82 Investment of the flop here too somehow?). So the math would be 0,5*-82+0,5*((0,52*1001)-362)=-41+79,26= Peeling here is good. Sorry if I made very newby mistakes, I sure have to get better at the math part of the game and would appreciate your help!

Cheers

Turn ($277.04) T 7 5 3
BB bets $274.24, Hero folds
Final Pot BB wins $274.24
Rake is $2.80

Loading 10 Comments...

Be the first to add a comment

You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.

This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy