150bb Deep Zoom Blind Battle 3B Pot OOP - What's the Play?

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150bb Deep Zoom Blind Battle 3B Pot OOP - What's the Play?

BN: $50.10
SB: $47.65 (Hero)
BB: $37.47
UTG: $12.55
HJ: $22.09
CO: $2.94
Villain in BB seems to be a tight reg playing 21/12 and 3betting 6.5% of the time. His Cbet% is rather low, 50% over a decent sample so he probably is the type to pot control medium strength hands. Unfortunately have not seen many showdowns with him so cannot confirm my cbet read.
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K 5 A A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB raises to $2.25, Hero calls $1.50
Standard flat call this deep with rainbow AA.
Flop ($4.85) K 4 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BB bets $3.87, Hero calls $3.87
No other option here I think.
Turn ($12.59) K 4 7 Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, BB bets $10.50, Hero raises to $41.53, and is all in, BB calls $20.85, and is all in
This is where the hand sucks. It really feels like villain has a stronger made hand here than us or a really strong combo draw given how little he cbets. His sizing is obviously comitting too. Question is can we profitably get this in? We block the K and we don't block the nfd/combo draws.

5 Comments

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Tom Coldwell 10 years, 9 months ago

If your read is that villain doesn't c-bet a ton and that his range is therefore pretty strong on the turn, why are you stacking off for nearly 3x pot?

CustomSuited 10 years, 9 months ago

Yeah Tom, I screwed this one up bad I think. Looking back even if stacks were 100bb deep and the turn SPR was like just under 2, I think I still would have had to fold vs a nitty range like his.

JimmyGlass 10 years, 9 months ago

I like flatting this aces pre. 

on the turn its either c/c or c/f vs given villain. I would not expect him to barrel all the draws here, so his range looks rather strong (even as we block K). could be somewhat nitty fold I guess.

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