1/2 twopair, interesting turn spot.

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1/2 twopair, interesting turn spot.

HJ: $150.16
CO: $207
BN: $236.74 (Hero)
SB: $318.92
BB: $221.40
Preflop ($3.00) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 8 5 9
HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $4.50, SB folds, BB calls $2.50
Flop ($10.00) 2 7 9 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB raises to $28, Hero calls $20
Turn ($66.00) 2 7 9 4 (2 Players)
BB bets $48
Villain is a reg, 25/19/7.5 over 160 hands, seemed agressive, w$wsf 52, raised cb very often.
Given that I block 79, his range in my eyes is skewed a lot towards draws - flushdraw and/or straight draw, occasionaly he will have just a JT9 or KQJ7. This means that on blank turns he will often miss and lose equity but is going to barrel nevertheless because he can expect a lot of folding equity given my turn range. I dont expect to get bluffed that often on flush/T/J turn, and even if I do i can comfortable call and probably fold river.
Turnplay is pretty interesting in my opinion, because both calling and shoving are viable options. When would you prefer one over another?
IMO:
Calling better when:
-> stacks deeper,
-> very aggro villain, preferably one with who we play a lot (balancing).
Jamming better when:
-> stacks shallower, so implied odds on our deceptive play smaller,
-> villain passive overall, on river especially.

3 Comments

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OnceItRun 12 years, 1 month ago
I don't think the board/your hand strength is good enough to call turn call river, as there are plenty of rivers that you don't really like and villain will likely barrel a huge % of rivers, so you are playing a guessing game. There's way too much value in jamming turn that you will potentially miss as well if you call turn.
Maikel1983 12 years, 1 month ago
You mentioned some good reasons, for calling - jamming the turn.
-> very aggro villain, preferably one with who we play a lot (balancing)
There is also good argument for balancing a wider shoving range on turn to combat his aggression.

I could only see myself calling this river, when we have a specific read that villain is on tilt or takes it personal vs us. And will do whatever it takes to win this pot.

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