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1/2 3bet pot river bluff-raise

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

1/2 3bet pot river bluff-raise

HJ: $52.50
CO: $229.59
BN: $901.38
SB: $439.43
BB: $567.67 (Hero)
UTG: $23.34
Weak/tight CO opens, decent player on button calls, and tight(5%3bet) 3bets and I call w/ 8d65d4 and so does CO and button.
Flop ($94.44) Q 7 9 (4 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks, BN checks
Turn ($94.44) K (4 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks, BN checks
River ($94.44) A (4 Players)
SB bets $72
I was wondering if raising in this spot is a good play. SB almost never has JT given that he didnt bet flop or turn. With his small 3bet% to have JT he would have other cards that connected with this board making it more likely he wouldve bet earlier. His most likely holding is AA or KK. Don't have to worry about button since he never has JT and really dont think CO does either because he wouldve bet the turn. I have great position for a bluff-raise and can credibly rep JT that slowplayed the turn.

I was wondering what people thought about a bluff-raise and what size to make it???

7 Comments

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Jason Ring 12 years, 2 months ago
The more I think about this hand I feel bluff-raising is clearly the best play in this spot. Just seems like such a good opportunity to pick up a nice pot.
Jason Ring 12 years, 2 months ago
Yeah I would. With two players still to act, though CO is unlikely to take stab here, a bet is reasonable from either of them. After 3 checks I think the button will take a stab a fair amount of the time. There also isn't any FD so that is less to worry about as far as bad rivers
coldids 12 years, 2 months ago
Well, just remember that the same reason that you use to discount SB's having JT also applies to you, especially because you check behind the preflop raiser - i.e. he might think you'd bet the turn with JT most of the time to always (regardless of whether you would or not) because he's already checked twice and both CO and BTN checked behind the flop...
Clownfish 12 years, 2 months ago
I think this hand is a fold pre due to your bad relative position. On the river you will get snapped by AA too often due to the reasons coldids provided. I think leading the turn is more credible and therefore a better bluff.
Jason Ring 12 years, 2 months ago
Betting the turn is more credible but you still have 2 players behind who could easily have JT that haven't acted on this card.
Clownfish 12 years, 2 months ago
I misread the hand a bit, so I don't think betting the turn as a bluff w/o blockers is a good idea. Anyway I mean why would you check the turn w JT? I can easily see people having KK and you should bet for value/protection. I am not sure how often CO/D will bluff, but perhaps not too often because it is 4-way and with that board texture they probably have show down value very often so no reason to bluff and a good thinking player will recognize this. Also I think V bets only w top of his range there and therefore I expect him to have bet/calling hands in this range as well. It depends a lot on your image too obv.

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