[10z] Defending Queens
Posted by Kerith
Posted by
Kerith
posted in
Low Stakes
[10z] Defending Queens
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $6.37
SB: $8.98
BB: $19.70 (Hero)
UTG: $11.48
MP: $14.45
CO: $14.62
SB: $8.98
BB: $19.70 (Hero)
UTG: $11.48
MP: $14.45
CO: $14.62
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is BB with
5
Q
Q
K
, , ,
Flop
($0.45)
Q
7
A
,
Turn
($0.45)
Q
7
A
7
,
After his check OTF, I don't think there are many hands that can call two streets, a 7 will bet anyway and I my hand needs no protection. I like check raising a lot of turns against delayed c-bets so having one of my strongest hands there makes sense.
River
($0.45)
Q
7
A
7
9
, , ,
I don't like my check since I miss the chance to get one small bet from weak hands. In the moment I probably overestimated the chance to get a bluff on the flush card from someone who declined every opportunity to bluff before.
Against his pot sized 3-bet I am confronted with conflicting information. On one hand I don't think there is a big chance he checked a flopped set (the two hands that beat me) behind twice but on the other hand his bet indicates that he has no fear (or is completely full of it). I think folding is out of the question but can we actually raise his last $2 profitably?
Against his pot sized 3-bet I am confronted with conflicting information. On one hand I don't think there is a big chance he checked a flopped set (the two hands that beat me) behind twice but on the other hand his bet indicates that he has no fear (or is completely full of it). I think folding is out of the question but can we actually raise his last $2 profitably?
Loading 2 Comments...
Stack sizes? He could play 77, 99 like this, but won't play AA, A7 or 79 like this. He might also play the nut flush like this, so I would raise and call a reraise. By that stage, you need to be good about 30% of the time and I think you will be, at these stakes.
Thanks for your answer, I am sorry that I could not reply earlier.
Like I wrote, at this point I can raise it about $2 more (he has $6.37 at the start of the hand and put in $4.23 so far). I am confused by your math. How did you arrive at the 30%? I need ~33% for a call to not be a losing play (with I assume it not to be) but I also have the option to put in those $2. However if I do so and I get called by worse hands less than 50% of the time, just calling is better.
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