10plo zoom kkx riverplay
Posted by Legendary
Posted by Legendary posted in Low Stakes
10plo zoom kkx riverplay
SB: $28.36 (Hero)
BB: $10.10
UTG: $11.32
HJ: $10.37
CO: $10.30
UTG raises to $0.30, HJ folds, CO calls $0.30, BN folds, Hero calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20
utgp= 25 18
co= 35 22
bb= 14 9, db100 (1/1)
Easy call preflop, I can setmine with my kk 3way and if
BB comes along, 4way. I dont sqz because I could get 4b and then I have to fold
my strong hand. If I was in the BB and it was HU I might 3b because its easiers
to play kkx oop HU then multiway. On the flop the bb leads 0,80 in to 1,20 or 75% pot.
Since he leads in to 3 people I believe he is strong and has ajx a lot of the
time or all the time. He also might do this with supercombos or a set+something
that he is willing to stack off with. I dont think I can get it in +ev here by
x/r. I didnt elect to lead because I am afraid of getting raised by aj. Also
since its 4way, the likelihood of someone having aj is big. If it were HU I
would rahter lead, getting called by a lof hands that might x back if I x. I
guess the more multiway the pot the quicker you prefer x/c over leading.
The turn is a blanc and I check again. Villain bets 2,10
in 2,80 again 75%. It seems supervalueish and I put him on AJx a lot and perhaps
some superdraws still. My eq, giving when he board pairs I have the best hand are,
ttt+qq+333+k or 10 cards is somewhere around 20% or 1 in 5 times, 4:1.
My odds are; 2,10 to win 2.10/2,10+2,10+2,80= 30%
So when I call I have to win 30% of the time when I only
win 21,13% (max) of the time. I decided to call and lead every card that would
beat a naked ajx, so every diamond, every spade and ofcourse when the board
pairs. So ~9 diamonds, ~8spades, 9 board pairing cards. Those are 26 cards so
~52%+ of the time.
The river brings a diamond so I follow my plan and lead
big and pretend I have the flush. I think every somewhat reggy villain folds
their naked aj here.
Do you like my play?
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