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10PLO: Facing a large river bet with middle set

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10PLO: Facing a large river bet with middle set

Poker Stars $10.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players -




SB: $10.00

BB: $7.31

UTG: $20.73

MP: $12.21

CO: $8.16

Hero (BTN): $13.72



Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 6 A A 6

UTG raises to $0.35, MP calls $0.35, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.35, 1 fold, BB calls $0.25



Flop: ($1.45) K 5 6 (4 players)

BB checks, UTG checks, MP checks, Hero bets $1.30, BB folds, UTG folds, MP calls $1.30



Turn: ($4.05) 7 (2 players)

MP checks, Hero checks



River: ($4.05) J (2 players)

MP bets $3.75, Hero ???

First of all, is it ok just calling here preflop in position and planning on set mining? Or should we always 3b in this spot?

Flop is an obvious bet, but on the turn I wasn't sure what to do. I do not want to bet and get raised and be forced out of our hand. Or should we bet here? If yes, why?

On the river he lead strong which makes me think he's strong, but then again he could have a pair and a busted FD and is trying to fold better hands like small two pair hands. What do you guys think? Call?

Villain is 66/34 with an aggression factor of 1.1 after 389 hands. No reads on him, but he's a calling station and went to the river and showed down with weak hands a couple of times.

4 Comments

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jonna102 9 years, 6 months ago

Calling preflop when you have the rainbow version of this hand is absolutely fine. 3-betting would also be fine, but can get a bit tricker postflop. With a suit I would probably always 3-bet pre, but without the suit either option is fine imo.

Turn I wouldn't mind a bet. Against a weak range, the 7 is not the most likely card to connect with his hand. And also, since most players lean heavily to raising only made hands on the turn, you don't really need to worry about getting raised and folding the best hand. If you are also uncertain about how to play rivers, then this may be both the most valuable and the easiest way to play the hand.

On the river, intuitively I think this is a fold just given general population and player type tendencies. Some hyper aggro players bluff river a lot, but many actually don't. They call insanely wide instead, and from your description this player seems like that type. You don't want to be calling their bets very wide.

You also don't have a great bluff catcher here. In terms of absolute hand strength sure, but you're probably not beating any of his value range so that doesn't matter. Instead, if you look at your blockers and non-blockers, you have no blockers to any straights. Instead, you are actually blocking BOTH nut flush draws. This many not mean a ton here since players continue with many lower flush draws also, but you kinda have to go with what you have, and here you have the exact cards that you don't want to have for calling.

At this limit I don't think blocker effects are super important, but when both player tendencies and blockers point in the same general direction, I think it becomes an easy fold and nothing to worry too much about.

Ephedrine10 9 years, 6 months ago

Hi! I'd probably bet around 2,6$ on the turn to protect your hand against FD-s. With the 7, 34 and 48 and 89 got there. The fist is an OE but it is the bottom end and people shlould not have it that often. The other two are Gutshots. So i think a 9 would suck more (78 nut openender) on the turn. But the point is that FD is paying you and if the river is a spade, you can cf, if a diamond, than it depends, but a loose-tight fish will not bluff them on the river, so you can comfortably fold. But if you just check the turn instead, you open yourself to these river bets, where you don't know that the opponent is betting because you showed weakness anddidn't bet the turn or he has it indeed.

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