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10/20 6max, 3bet pot

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

10/20 6max, 3bet pot

# PRE: open 2x btn, the BB 3bets @ 100bb stacksizes. I call with AJJ2s.
# FLOP: 954r he cbets 2/3, I call.
# TURN: Qs he checks, I check behind (no FD obv)
# RIVER: 7o. he checks, hero ?

Villain is regular (32/24), that 3bets 12% bb-btn and cbets 78% in 3b pots. Nothing too special regarding dynamics between us.

QUESTION:
1. What do you do on the river. If you bet, BETSIZE ? What about your range taking this line ? Check this hand I guess otherwise too unbalanced, as we have some showdown value here (probably 30% max) ?!
2. Worst hand you valuebet ?

Thanks!

4 Comments

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Caantpayrent 12 years ago
Hey, with no special dynamic, and the fact that you checked behind the turn, i can't see whats calling any river bet that hasn't got you beat, by betting id assume your mostly going to get calls from better hands and folds from worse ones, the one place you might get a fold is maybe like bottom 2, but id say unlikely as you'd checked behind the turn as well, but if you bets something like 65%+ you could maybe get him to throw away bottom 2, im not saying that's a profitable play i'm just saying for this one hand you probably could, but over all id say you check, if you know he's c-betting highish then in position you could semi bluff your JJ's on the turn, if he had a hand id assume he's going to continue and depending on his check call turn % just build a pot with him holding air most of the time....

once you know more about whats he's checking oop on the river you can start to value bet, but he might have flopped bottom 2 then just wanted to check it down...we don't know so we gotta check...

If you liked what i said please heart it, and let me know where i went wrong if you didn't...:)
chum 12 years ago
^^quite possibly the worst analysis i've ever seen. i dont know wtf you are talking about.

I think river depends on villain and your image. If villain is a station and thinks you can only bet straights here i'd check back. If villain can make folds and thinks you can bet some thin 2 pairs like 97, i'd go ahead and bet around 2/3rds.
nma 12 years ago
Once he checks twice I think you can bet and take it down. He c bets 80% of flops so you can easily float him a lot and bluff turns/rivers. You would want to bet hoping he folds something like AQ KQ because that's in his 3 bet range and something he would probably check back twice (hoping he has showdown) If you think he's going to fold it then you can easily make a bet there. You have a lot of straights in your range so therefore I'd bet like 1/2 pot for cheap bluff / value (when you have your straights)
Zachary Freeman 12 years ago
I'd bet river. Over pairs and QX will fold a lot. You credibly rep a robust value range.
You are concerned you have too many bluffs if you bluff this? I wouldn't be concerned, villain has already prob decided what action to take once he checked river. I'd just make the vacuum +ev bluff. If you get called, then just balance by value betting thinner in future hands.

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