100plo river spot with AA
Posted by z0fman
Posted by
z0fman
posted in
Low Stakes
100plo river spot with AA
flop i would rather bet 1/2 pot yea?
river?
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i know its way bigger equity then in nolimit, yet 90 percent equity wont make me stop valueing my high full houses because of something that will happen once in 10 times
if i dont value im losing for example 10 times pot bet that would be called off lets say 5 times on avarage and im stacking off once
if i dont value it out of those 5 calls im losing 2-3 to a check so my overoll profit for my high fullhouses becomes insignificant because of scare of quads
To add ~ even nitty play cant save you from stacking off because face with a bet ~ what will you do as one? and to add as second~ i hit high fullhouse twice last year~ and raised got in rererereraises and i lost AA hand on A27 board to runnin quads 2 after shoved on flop to allin, and same happened to me with QQ on Q59 board where i lost to runna 5 quads that outted
I played loads and i think maybe 2 quads i saw more but this time in my hand, so evens it out . im not playin 12 hours a day but those are examples when i played zoom 4-5 hours a day a month
So over what math tells me and experience i dont think its worth thinking about
So what are the Hands you will Call flop and call turn? What hands do you have on the river?
Being not call by worse usually against better opponents maybe good argument to let opponent bet into us as a bluff or eventually nuts but silly me is calling off here :S :)
Ill try put more tight sound logic that you usually have though in my other plays, in this one in particular i think most people disagree with me so far but im still kinda sticking to it thinking im right, maybe due to low blinds im playing ATM, and if i have a exploitable leak in my play i like to correct it usually but this 1 i think i can allow myself to have being too rare for opponents to know they can exploit such situations in particular even when i change the blinds
It's one of the principles of solid hand reading that as the streets go on, the opponent's range should become more defined. If you get to the river and still think villain has four random cards, you're probably not thinking about his ranges hard enough. I think after someone's decided to call even pre-flop, they're no longer on a random range of cards.
Also, I think you'll find that PPT uses '*' for a random card. xxxx represents four cards all of the same suit. If you click on the 'syntax help' tab under the simulator, you'll see that this incredibly useful tool has many ways of helping you to accurately describe your equity against a range of hands.
on river, what kinds of hands do you think villain has that can call three streets? i can't think of too many so i would tend to check. i suppose you could put in a small token river bet if you insist but if you get raised i'd sort of be hating life.
yes quads are always very unlikely, until they become likely. i would usually check river
hubbaHubba
Checking river must be the only way to go...and hate life whatever happens I think!!!
Now the river: he hasn't made you tell him yet if you have AA, or even a T. So you have to assume that he assumes that he thinks they're in your range. If you bet, he might bet, but never raise, the case A. He'll only raise a T. If you check, I'd need a specific read to think he'll bluff this board, I think even the case A checks behind. In any event, I don't think you're missing any value not betting this river. If he's calling Axxx, he's maybe also betting it. He's raising or betting the T in any case. If you're good, it's the same value x/c as betting. If you're not, it's cheaper to x/c than to b/c, and the same price as b/f.
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