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100 zoom 3bp with double pair

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

100 zoom 3bp with double pair

BN: $99.50
SB: $273.41 (Hero)
BB: $77.63
UTG: $78.83
HJ: $207.29
CO: $93.30
Opponent is playing 30/19/4, with multiple entries, probably a reg.
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 3 3 9 9
UTG folds, HJ raises to $3, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $10, BB folds, HJ raises to $31, Hero calls $21
Perhaps we shouldn't be 3 betting this deep OOP? Once he 4 bets we still have a profitable call with plenty left in stacks.
Flop ($66.50) 9 7 8 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $30, Hero calls $30
don't see any other play here really
Turn ($126.50) 9 7 8 2 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $72.12
he bets almost exactly half his remaining stack on the turn... not sure what is best here.

Does anyone know how to figure out how often a random AAxx hand will flop a flush on a monotone flop and how often he will flop the nutblocker? I guess the answers to those questions are the key to this hand.

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