100 6max, top2 getting c/r
Posted by patrick
Posted by patrick posted in Low Stakes
100 6max, top2 getting c/r
BB: $57.51
CO: $108.76 (Hero)
BN: $78
SB: $103.25
CO: $108.76 (Hero)
BN: $78
SB: $103.25
Villain is reggy and reasonable
Preflop
($1.50)
(4 Players)
Hero was dealt
T
J
Q
A
Hero raises to $3, BN folds, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2
Hero raises to $3, BN folds, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2
Flop
($9.00)
Q
J
5
(3 Players)
SB checks,
BB checks,
Hero bets $6,
SB raises to $26.60,
BB folds
Had some heated discussions about this.
My plan was to call the raise and ship every turn which is not a spade, A, T, 9 and possibly 8 (not sure about 8s), so basically doing an equity shift.
Some friends said they'd jam the flop but I think this is a -EV play against a reasonable player in a singleraised pot.
We have 42% against AKT:ss, KT:ss, KT9:ss, QQ, JJ, 55, QJ. In that case we assume Villain will c/r/broke with bare QJ which is optimistic imo, if we remove QJ from the range we have 35%. So we never get it in with 45% even and I think that's a bad play then.
On a blank turn we have 54% against the range without QJ.
My plan was to call the raise and ship every turn which is not a spade, A, T, 9 and possibly 8 (not sure about 8s), so basically doing an equity shift.
Some friends said they'd jam the flop but I think this is a -EV play against a reasonable player in a singleraised pot.
We have 42% against AKT:ss, KT:ss, KT9:ss, QQ, JJ, 55, QJ. In that case we assume Villain will c/r/broke with bare QJ which is optimistic imo, if we remove QJ from the range we have 35%. So we never get it in with 45% even and I think that's a bad play then.
On a blank turn we have 54% against the range without QJ.
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