10-PLO Turn decision against unknown

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10-PLO Turn decision against unknown

SB: $25.40
BB: $9.10 (Hero)
HJ: $9.64
CO: $12.53
BN: $10.50
Preflop ($0.30) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 A T 9
HJ raises to $0.40, CO calls $0.40, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $0.30
Flop ($1.40) Q 2 6 (3 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $1.24, CO folds, Hero calls $1.24
Turn ($3.88) Q 2 6 T (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $3.61, Hero folds
Final Pot
HJ wins $3.61

Villain had just joined the table and is unknown.

On the Turn, I didn't realize that beside the dirty J outs I also have a nut-gutter (at least 3 sevens, no spade). Also the remaining stacks made me feel this was a commit or fold situation.

What would you do? What other post-flop lines could I take?

5 Comments

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JimmyGlass 11 years, 9 months ago

flop is standard\ok for me,

turn - pretty close. dont think that fold is a big mistake. i would count Jacks as clear outs here


also, BI should be 100bb probably 

IbexTiller 11 years, 9 months ago

vs a range of pure QQ we have ~30% equity. 

If we add QT our equity jumps to ~35%. 

I think we have a clear call on the turn here the equities as they are and good implied odds on this board run out. Lot's of draws can "miss" both your straight outs are pretty deceptive seeing as they are back door. Even better if they roll off suit and we can bet big repping either missed clubs and spades. 

Flop is pretty uncoordinated so we can either lead or check raise as I think we take it down a lot of the time. Sucks to be shoved on but we still have decent equity vs top set and I think we are flipping vs tp + lower clubs.

 


jonna102 11 years, 9 months ago

I think this hand plays out better if you lead the flop.  This board is unlikely to hit anyone and often you're going to take it down with a bet.  You also get money in against lower flush draws.  So I prefer leading here.

IbexTiller 11 years, 9 months ago

The decision to lead or check raise here relies heavily on player tendencies. If V cb too frequently then check raising and winning more dead money is best. Passive V who are likely to check behind are best led into. 

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