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PLO25 Variance

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

PLO25 Variance

Is this normal,  45 buy-ins -EV in 93.930 hands? And this is for this year, my total is 66 buy-ins -EV


4 Comments

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jonna102 11 years, 8 months ago

It's normal.  You play enough hands of PLO you will come across a swing like this at some point.  Swings are the same regardless of stakes.  

jonna102 11 years, 8 months ago

Btw, this is why bankroll management is such an important part of poker.  It's also what keeps the losing players in the game, so overall the swings are required for the ecosystem to work.

Tom Coldwell 11 years, 8 months ago

Big swings aren't that unusual in PLO.

A note of caution though, I read somewhere that due to some quirk in how all in EV is calculated by PT and HM, we will always run below EV over a large sample (something about how multi-way pots are done or something because it didn't apply to HU play). I could be wrong and can't remember my source, but it's certainly worth considering 'cas there may be issues causing you to lose beyond runbad (for example, your VPIP and PFR numbers diverge more than I would want).

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