Shove or Fold 88 in Bubble ?
Posted by betnliving
Posted by
betnliving
posted in
SNGs
Shove or Fold 88 in Bubble ?
SB: $3990
BB: $2145 (Hero)
CO: $3055
BN: $4310
BB: $2145 (Hero)
CO: $3055
BN: $4310
Preflop
($300.00)
(4 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
8
CO raises to $500, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $2145, and is all in, CO calls $1645
CO raises to $500, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $2145, and is all in, CO calls $1645
Flop
($4590.00)
7
4
T
(2 Players)
Turn
($4590.00)
7
4
T
K
(2 Players)
River
($4590.00)
7
4
T
K
2
(2 Players)
Final Pot
Hero has
8
8
CO has
A
K
CO
wins $4390
Considering my stack will be that I should wait for a better situation? Or wait would destroy me?
The villain was tight
Loading 16 Comments...
wp
Considering if I won, could fight for the first place I think it too
You can just call then Jam the flop also if no Broadway cards come out, but its not the wrong move. Just another way to play the hand.
i like that way better, spes on the bubble :)
Yeah, could be also
I think call pre an jam (some flops) is wrong. All in pre is the only way.
IMO - 88 is too good to fold. CO (if he has any clue) looks to be raise inducing with the AK, but he could do the same with 55-77 which you crush and any broadways (which you are 50/50 at worst). In the long term, you'll be ahead or chopping pre-flop MORE than you will be crushed.
As short stack, you just can't fold 88 here unless you have a really specific read that CO is huge - like say he raises like 5% of hands or something like that.
Just my 2c.
Fold ! esp if he is tight
Fist pump shove.
What limit are you playing? I like 3-beting light on your spot and if called shoving the flop as long as it hasnt any broadways and at most one overcard (9 or 10) that doesnt hit his tight range too much. It is a quite risky move, but way stronger than shoving pre-flop and coinfliping your tournament life on bubble IMO.
very easy shove
I actually don't think that these very specific situations are going to make a big difference to your overall winnings in the long run. It will, however, affect your variance. This is a spot where shoving is going to be +chip EV, but ICM may get on your case a bit. In reality, you are likely going to be making more money by shoving over a large # of trials, but you will encounter quite a bit of variance along the way. I think that this is a spot that you shouldn't dwell on a lot. It is a crucial situation where you make the money or not today, but that shouldn't affect your decision and you shouldn't dwell on it too much.
get it in
I quess I fold pre and show sb or b with 50% range instead
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Super villain dependent. A lot of guys wont have a r/f range in this spot.
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