Hand 2 from Crown Casino $1/3 Live Cash

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Hand 2 from Crown Casino $1/3 Live Cash

Hi RIO Crew,

Had a very interesting hand yesterday. Wanted to get your thoughts. Villan hasnt shown any bluffs and looks like a rock player. Although he is weak, he doesnt donate his chips away like a lot of other players on these tables.

MP Villan calls ($500)
CO calls
Button calls
Hero (JJ) raises to $15 ($400 stack)
Villan, CO and button call (very typical for $1/3 to defend the limp)
Pot - $48

Flop - Th, 9s, 6h

Hero bets $35
MP raises to 70
CO and Button fold
Hero calls
Pot - $188

Turn - 3d

Hero bets $50
Villan calls pretty fast
Pot - $288

River - Td

Hero Checks
Villan bets $120

What to do? What do you think Villan has?

5 Comments

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rapidravi 9 years, 7 months ago

You need to evaluate , is he the kind of player to raise with flush / open ended st draws or only with Sets or 2 pair? Usually older gentlemen > 50 only call with draws and younger < 30 raise.

Based on the description as a Rock, I don't think we can call the river any Tx , 78 combo beats. I am surprised by the lead on the turn rather than check? . River, Only thing we can beat is a missed FD and i think against his range we need at least 50% equity to make this call profitable , (considering Tx, hh possible combos, 78,99,66) we have around 30% or maybe even less.

Simon Ash 9 years, 7 months ago

Based on your description you have to fold I think.....

Am also slightly surprised by the turn lead, after being x/r by this guy. If he is weak and straightforward you could check and expect him to bet his Ten (which is what he probably has)

Tutor 9 years, 7 months ago

Yea I agree that my lead on the turn was a pretty big blunder. I thought for a while on this hand and folded. Villan showed 79hearts but I think long term, its most likely a profitable to fold in this spot.

Kuja900 9 years, 7 months ago

The only thing I think certainly was a mistake in this hand was the sizing of our preflop raise. 20 would have been better. For 15 were just going to get the snowball call effect too often and I don't think we want to play a 4 way hand with JJ.

drommordare 9 years, 7 months ago

Def agree to make it bigger preflop oops in these type of cash games. Like you mentioned people are defending their limp regardless. Push that preflop edge.

I think the bet on the turn as played actually gives you some more information which makes his hand look more like hearts. If he does have a set or like top two pair and you bet $50 into $188 he raises most of the time. Plus on the river you need to be corrected way less then 50% as someone mentioned above. $288 + $120 = $408. So your putting in $120 to win $408 which makes this call very profitable given his range.

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