First hand of live MTT final table.
Posted by JIMMERZZZ90
Posted by
JIMMERZZZ90
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Live Poker
First hand of live MTT final table.
Hero is second of 10 (10 handed ft) with 330k at 4k/8k/1k ante.
Average stack is 200k but chipleader has almost half chips in play(had about 950k). Folds to hero on btn i min r to 16k with 89ss, bb chipleader 3 bets to 40k.This is where I believe I made my biggest mistake in the hand by flatting his 3-bet( he was playing loose aggressive but very well from 18 players down when i joined his table).I really shouldn't have even opened here given that he is gonna play back here a lot given our stack sizes and of course there are ICM implications. I really hate pf here! I had been 3 betting aggressively form final 3 tables down and just chipped up nicely without ever being AI. Chipleader and myself hadnt clashed in any pot up to this point.He views me as aggressive, competent thinking player.
But anyways flop(94k) is 10hJs3s. Villain bets 38k hero calls. Turn(170k) is 7s giving me a flush(Must be a scare card for him as flush and straights get there).Villain checks. hero bets 53k, villain calls. River( 276k) is Ad. Villain checks, hero tanks and jams 200k AI.Villain calls. FINAL BOARD 10hJs3s7sAd
Aside form preflop (which i know i butchered) ,is the rest of the hand pretty standard here? Given that villain is good thinking aggressive player, what worse hands can he call me with on the river?I mean, 89suited ,KQ, any flush gets there by the river.I don't think i'm ever bluffing in this spot so is there ever merit to checking river?I think maybe 70-90k river bet is probably best here looking back as he will be getting great odds to call like any set,KQ with a spade ,AJ 2 pair hands.(I would bet fold in this spot although he probably is capable of bluff shoving with naked As).
Villain snaps river and shows AKss for the nuts.
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It is not the greatest spot on earth but calling a 3bet in position with 98s is perfectly fine. Even though, clashing against the big stack isn't the most recommended thing but you played it well and was unfortunate to face the nuts. What is your assumption about his flop bet sizing and his turn calling range ?
Given that it is such a wet flop and that it smacks our 3b defending range, i think villain would be betting larger with all his made hands on this particular flop.So, I did think he would be weighted towards having more draw hands/one pair +backdoors, two overs plus gutters.
His turn calling range I think is made up largely of the above mentioned hands.This is my reasoning behind my really small turn bet, ensuring calls from such hands with the intention of barreling all non spade hands on the river.
Still my question is whether or not you think shove is best line on the river here vs a smaller value bet given that his range for calling my river shove would be an extremely tight range?
This small bet sizings from live players can be also super nutted hands and super weak hands. River is super tricky. I don't expect him to have many flushes beside the nut portion of it and yours blockers are irrelevant since he is probably flatting pre A9ss/A8ss. The board blocks Js and 3s hands that he may 3bet pre. So, he has AKss/AQss/ATss/A4ss/A2ss and those last two probably he hasn't it with 100% frequency. I expect him to check call ATss OTF.
What hands he is probably playing this way and x/c river: AJ/AT/KsQx/KxQs/JJ/TT/AA/KQss/KTss/K9ss/AKss/AQss/ATss/A4ss/A2ss. I don't think you are doing that poorly against his range but is a pretty bad ICM spot. I'd still shove with my whole range.
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