+Ev Shove?
Posted by betnliving
Posted by betnliving posted in SNGs
+Ev Shove?
Blinds: t200/t400 (4 Players)
CO: 1,567 (Hero)
BN: 3,661
SB: 5,870
BB: 2,402
BN: 3,661
SB: 5,870
BB: 2,402
Preflop
(600)
Hero is CO with
5
T
, , ,
Flop
(3,584)
Q
8
6
Turn
(3,584)
Q
8
6
4
River
(3,584)
Q
8
6
4
A
Final Pot
CO
lost and shows high card Ace.
SB wins and shows a pair of Aces.
SB wins 3,584
SB wins and shows a pair of Aces.
SB wins 3,584
Seat 4 : 20/17
Seat 6: 35/4
Seat 7: 19/14
My analysis: against the players 4 and 7 i have a considerable fold equity, and even the player 6 paying to much he will fold a considerable number of hands. So a belive it was better make a shove than wait and be blinded out. ICM calculators says it was -Ev but they don't consider the big blind will hit me immediately. Thanks.
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