A5s on Bubble with Big Stack
Posted by betnliving
Posted by
betnliving
posted in
SNGs
A5s on Bubble with Big Stack
CO: $1577
BN: $1744
SB: $5999
BB: $4180 (Hero)
BN: $1744
SB: $5999
BB: $4180 (Hero)
(STT) My all-in was correct or not worth the risk in the bubble considering that the villain (SB) was loose and aggressive? But I was probably in front SB, and button was tight.
Preflop
($225.00)
(4 Players)
Hero was dealt
5
A
CO folds, BN raises to $300, SB calls $225, Hero calls $150
CO folds, BN raises to $300, SB calls $225, Hero calls $150
Flop
($900.00)
A
5
3
(3 Players)
SB bets $450,
Hero raises to $3880, and is all in,
BN folds,
SB calls $3430
Turn
($8660.00)
A
5
3
7
(2 Players)
River
($8660.00)
A
5
3
7
3
(2 Players)
Final Pot
SB has
6
8
Hero has
5
A
SB
wins $8660
(STT) My all-in was correct or not worth the risk in the bubble considering that the villain (SB) was loose and aggressive? But I was probably in front SB, and button was tight.
Loading 7 Comments...
definetly a good play, you just got unlucky. if you win this hand (which you will very often) you will go on to win the SNG a good amount of the time, plus a lot of the time he will probably just have air and have to fold. good shove
Yeah, the probability of winning this hand is great and winning this hand I will have a great probabildade also winning the tournament.
his call was terrible ,he dont understand ICM concept ,mark him like fish and shove into him when he is on blinds tighter
+1; you got your money in good, with a redraw as well...u/l
Now reviewing this play he made a horrible call, most of the time this play will be very lucrative and he should be a fish.
yeah, I think he just wanted to bust you out since he covers you, no reason for him to make that call
Math says it all:
On given circumstances post flop, knowing both players hole cards, chances of winning are:
HERO: W-64.4% L-35.6% T-0%
SB: W-35.6% L-64.4% T-0%
Not knowing his hole cards you have to think about fold equity, that is - you can assume, opponent has big stack and will fold 70% of a time (because he feels comfortable with his stack) to shove like that. Knowing that you would win aprox. 60-70% of a time when called, this is definitely the right play. As of 65% of all time when called you will have HUGE chip advantage and most likely win the tournament = gain profit.
If not called, you will gain chip advantage over your opponents anyway and it increases your chances of finishing first. What happens also - you deny willingness for most players to put all their chips in and risk ending behind bubble just with pure draws.
This was just unlucky situation. Basically - this was a good move.
~mForceXgen
Be the first to add a comment