$0.5 9-man turbo 3-bet shove against blind stealing during the bubble with KQs
Posted by jujaezen
Posted by
jujaezen
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SNGs
$0.5 9-man turbo 3-bet shove against blind stealing during the bubble with KQs
CO: 895
BN: 7,854
SB: 2,644
BN wins and shows a pair of Jacks.
BN wins 4,414
During the bubble (payout structure is standard 5/3/2), villain is the biggest stack 26BB in the BTN and Hero has 7BB in BB. He was actively blind stealing during the bubble and his overall stats was VP51/PR22/3B 9 (37 hands, so not really significantly useful, but pretty lag I'd say). What is the range of my 3bet shove here?
I think KQs would be the bottom of my 3-bet shove range here (approximately 8-10%). Is this range too wide?
ICM gives 3.5% +$EV shoving range against villain's 16% BTN stealing and 8% calling the shove range.
One thing that troubles me here is that I expected villain to fold more than 50% of his stealing range here since he might be open wider than 16%. Is this reasoning/assumption correct?
Thank you all for your input in advance
Loading 1 Comments...
I think the range the BN will call you is a little wider, because of his stack, it is bubble time and he is going to open his range to push this. And if he is a good player maybe he is aware of his stats and he knows you gonna open the range for resteal him, then this is when he's gonna call you several times. It wont change anything if he loses for you. By the way, if you fold de CO will get in trouble with the big blind, so maybe the fold for ICM could be a better play.
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