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ZOOM NL 5 - River Bluff on 3-bet Pot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

ZOOM NL 5 - River Bluff on 3-bet Pot

BN: $2.61
SB: $5.12
BB: $5.15 (Hero)
UTG: $4.90
HJ: $1.23
CO: $5
Preflop ($0.07) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K 9
UTG raises to $0.15, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $0.45, UTG calls $0.30
UTG was opening 18% of hands on UTG, folding to 50% of 3-bets (general stat) and folding to 72% of c-bets on 3-bet pots (general stat).
Flop ($0.97) Q 2 Q (2 Players)
Hero bets $0.55, UTG calls $0.55
Given that he has been folding a lot to c-bets (72% on 3-bet pots) I think I can fold a lot of hands, and have a huge profit on the c-bet: some A highs, unpaired cards, and even some low PPs some percentage of the time.
Turn ($2.07) Q 2 Q J (2 Players)
Hero checks, UTG checks
Once he calls, I figure that his range is pretty strong and that it isn't profitable to barrel here.
River ($2.07) Q 2 Q J 5 (2 Players)
Hero bets $1.15, UTG raises to $3.45, Hero folds
After he checks back the turn, I think he frequently has some kind of PP and I think I can fold those frequently enough to make it profitable, as I think I'll never ever win this hand at showdown if I check it.
Final Pot
UTG wins $4.14
Any comments are appreciated.

Thanks :)

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