Zoom 500 - value bet top set?
Posted by phil long
Posted by phil long posted in Mid Stakes
Zoom 500 - value bet top set?
PokerStars Zoom Hand #114997447513: Hold'em No Limit ($2.50/$5.00) - 2014/04/19 10:32:37 WET [2014/04/19 5:32:37 ET]
Table 'Lambda Velorum' 6-max
Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Villain 1 ($957.61 in chips)
Seat 2: Villain 2 ($1557.20 in chips)
Seat 3: Hero ($1234.87 in chips)
Seat 4: Villain 3 ($587.31 in chips)
Seat 5: Villain 4 ($443.76 in chips)
Seat 6: Villain 5 ($2762.92 in chips)
Villain 2: posts small blind $2.50 Hero: posts big blind $5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Kd Ks]
Villain 3: folds
Villain 4: folds
Villain 5: folds
Villain 1: folds
Villain 2: raises $10.07 to $15.07
Hero: raises $29.93 to $45
Villain 2: calls $29.93
*** FLOP *** [3h Qc Th]
Villain 2: checks
Hero: bets $60
Villain 2: calls $60
*** TURN *** [3h Qc Th] [8h]
Villain 2: checks
Hero: bets $140
Villain 2: calls $140
*** RIVER *** [3h Qc Th 8h] [Kc]
Villain 2: checks
Pot 490, 1k in stacks
Villain is an aggro reg, not too much history between us recently. On the river the K slams all my bluffs leaving me with not that much air, so I would have to be barreling like Ahx, which i usually flat pre. Or a random gutter like J7 but again not many of those.
If I bet I also have to worry about being shoved on, he can have flushes, he can turn a hand like AhQ or AhT into a bluff, or he can have AJ for value and I expect all to play this way to the river near 100% of the time. So, do we check back, bet fold or bet call?
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