Zoom 200 - cool river CR spot
Posted by Nick Howard
Posted by Nick Howard posted in Mid Stakes
Zoom 200 - cool river CR spot
SB: $231.69 (Hero)
BB: $200
UTG: $207.60
HJ: $686.68
CO: $814.89
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $4, Hero calls $3, BB calls $2
at the time, this felt too thin to jam (PF we're about 115 bb effective) .. so i decided to use a really weird small sizing. probably never balancing bluffs tbh.
When i did some math on it , i gave villain ~80 value hands .. which is something like AT+. Maybe this is too thin, but i'm guessing hero wants to CR turn at a relatively high fqcy with 2pair+, which makes it seem like villain can v-bet sort of thin OTR. I didn't look at my river range though, it's possible that i could have enough BDF's that make even overpairs a clear check back for him.
anyway if he actually v-bets AT+, he has to felt about 51% of his river value betting range vs a CR shove .. which is about 42 combos. He's got about 20 better flushes in his range if he c-bets all his A and K high BDFD otf, which i think is reasonable. So it seems like the smaller raise sizing is actually sort of good.
That being said , if he never has overpairs in his range OTR, raising for any sizing looks very bad...
what would you guys v-bet in villain's shoes OTR?
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