ZOOM 10NL Challenge Day 4 Hand 1
Posted by elbabbelino
Posted by
elbabbelino
posted in
Low Stakes
ZOOM 10NL Challenge Day 4 Hand 1
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (9 Players)
BN: $17.39
SB: $12.63
BB: $23.81
UTG: $12.19
UTG+1: $10.28
MP: $6.49
MP+1: $54.98
MP+2: $21.41
CO: $12.74 (Hero)
SB: $12.63
BB: $23.81
UTG: $12.19
UTG+1: $10.28
MP: $6.49
MP+1: $54.98
MP+2: $21.41
CO: $12.74 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is CO with
A
A
, , , , ,
Flop
($4.15)
T
4
J
, ,
Is this a Push or Fold situation OTF? Or is flatting fine?
Turn
($13.33)
T
4
J
7
,
River
($13.33)
T
4
J
7
K
, ,
In retrospect I like XC'ing OTR. I block AQ and if there is one river he might bluf it's the K. Some % of the time he might valuebet worse (AK/KQ) also. In game I felt this river would be underbluffed and few 10nl players turn pairs into blufs.
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PIO pushes flop 98/9 percent of time
We have to be cautious before taking this as the "truth from the heavens" as villains range must be far from what u used in PIO simulation.
I used optimal preflop ranges and the postflop ranges followed from that.
This is a good starting point that can be tweaked if want to model a human opponent for clear flaws.
If we dont know that he has any clear flaws, putting him on optimal preflop/postflop ranges (= assuming he plays strong poker) is a good model. Better than guessing what his flaws might be.
even when we block a lot of A combos ?
But agree with zenfish. Shove flop. Also our spr when bet flop is 1.4 there are no better options it seems.
What do ranges look like on the flop?
This is the question.
I think we can almost entirely remove AK from his range, very heavilly discount it at least.
1.Would he 3b?=yes 90%+
2.Would he ship v 4b? = at some freq, maybe 50% btn v co - more if it's only 100bb
3.Having not 5b bet pre - presumably because he feared the strength of your 4b range - how much does he really raise a gs otf? Not so often I would say maybe 25%.
so 8 pre flop combo's *.5 *.25 =1.
You may want to change the freq, but Ak isn't the first hand I'd think of, and I don't thinbk KQ 3b pre much at all, and whilst it may be a more freq flop raise, K high doesn't check to give up ott with oesd.
pretty weird line from villain... raising flop with KQs or 89s seems bad from his perspective. Mixing KQ with JJ and TT could be ok though. Turn and river confused me... He could have used this line with some 89s or KQ, but shoving river with KQ seems real thin. KJs might be a possibilty as well. Think shoving flop is best, we will run into JJ and TT, but he raise/calls KQ and also some QQ and KK, so we have enough equity to go with it. there´s no real point in just calling this raise OOP, we are just giving away free equity to KQ.
I think I agree
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