zNL5 - 3Bet pot facing shove OTR

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zNL5 - 3Bet pot facing shove OTR

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $5.47
SB: $17.92
BB: $10.13 (Hero)
UTG: $5.05
MP: $6.74
CO: $5.25
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with Q Q
2 folds, CO raises to $0.12, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, CO calls $0.38
Flop ($1.02) 8 9 3
Hero bets $0.58, CO calls $0.58
Turn ($2.18) 8 9 3 K
Hero checks, CO checks
River ($2.18) 8 9 3 K Q
Hero bets $1.15, CO raises to $4.17 and is all in, Hero calls $3.02

Hi guys!

I'd like to know your thoughts on that hand. Villain was playing 22/17 on 89 hands.

OTF: I think that bet could be higher like 0,66~0,70, our hand is strong but need protection against some AJ-AK.
OTT: The K favour my range, looking now, could be a cbet here instead of check.
OTR: The villain checks back OTT, so I don't think he has two pairs+, probably he'll bet these combos versus missed cbet turn. When I hit my set I have much value and villain can do that with some KQ or even missed flush draws. The are only 4 combos of JTs that beats me. In conclusion, I think the call could be +ev.

What dou you guys think about my play?

2 Comments

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Samu Patronen 6 years, 11 months ago

I agree with you analysis for the most part. I think you could definitely bet the turn.

I would probably go even smaller on the river, just because I think that villains range is quite weak, smaller bet would induce more light calls and raises.

James Hudson 6 years, 11 months ago

Looks good. You can almost definitely bet the turn though given that it's really hard for your opponent to hit that K, especially when you hold two queens. River play looks good.

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