x/r OESD on flop... facing shove on turn
Posted by esso.g
Posted by
esso.g
posted in
Low Stakes
x/r OESD on flop... facing shove on turn
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
UTG: $9.39
MP: $10.15
CO: $7.19
BN: $10.00
SB: $10.64 (Hero)
BB: $11.10
MP: $10.15
CO: $7.19
BN: $10.00
SB: $10.64 (Hero)
BB: $11.10
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is SB with
5
5
, , , ,
Flop
($0.70)
7
8
6
, , ,
Turn
($2.70)
7
8
6
5
, ,
villain is 32/19 over 90 hands / 25% att to steal
is it a good spot to x/r flop?
as played should i continu showing aggression on turn when board complete the straight?
Loading 7 Comments...
What are you trying to accomplish with the x/r on the flop? I feel you don't fold enough hands to make it profitable and you sure ain't doing that well with 4th pair on board, even though you are OESD, I'd rather x/c and not blow the pot away from us.
At turn I'd put this range on villain, I'm not sure but I don't see him continue with worst than this at turn and I already took out some overpairs of the equation.
Board: 8d7h6h5s
Equity Win
MP2 61.11% 56.85% 4.26% { TT-66, ATs-A2s, K9s, Q9s, J9s+, T9s, 98s, A9o, K9o, Q9o, J9o, T9o }
MP3 38.89% 34.63% 4.26% { 5d5c }
I'm not trying to be positive but I didn't remove the Ax combos suited that could overplay this turn, but yea... I'm being positive derp derp.
At turn, I think we beaten but since you boost this pot so much and already put so much money in there, I'd call there to, but that line is spewy as hell. I'd rather x/r with OESD + flushdraw to try GII turn.
As played, we have 4:1 to call after you bet turn, I'm not folding here.
4:1? There's 2.70 in the pot and after our bet and his raise, its at 10.34. We're getting almost exactly 2.5:1, so we need to be good around 28%. I don't think he's doing this with anything worse than our hand, I'm certainly not expecting him to flat flop and raise turn with a hand like 87s, so that means we almost certainly need to improve in order to win and we are only going to boat up 20% of the time here. I really want to try to put more weak hands in our opponents range but I feel like they would have made their moves on the flop. FD with overs? Big straight draw? Over pair? 2 pair? They all make moves on the flop if they decide to make one at all.
I must be running my math wrong, i did the calculation at turn when hero gets raised, so i thought we needed 25% to break even, ill recheck that when i get home, long night but i do agree villain wouldnt slowdown at flop if he had such combos, at turn is he almost always with a made hand?
i decided to x/r cause i thought since he was loose he would be the type of villain that would cbet a lot and after my raise would probably call wide... since my hand is only OESD i thought raising would be safer by him calling wide and if i hit my straight gonna be hard for him the fold his 2 pair/ pair with A kicker...
When we play our draws aggressively we are giving ourselves an extra way to win the hand, we can now earn a fold from our opponent or hit our hand and get paid. That means we like folds but need to improve when called. What we do not want is to get called by a wide range. Consider this: If he will pay you off with his 2 pair/pair w/ A hands after you raise him, will he not do the same if you just call? If you're going to be achieving the same result then adding extra money to the pot when you're behind isn't a strong play.
ohh yeah your right man thanks pal
Just call here OTF you have a ton of SD value vs FD's, BDFD's, and 9x.
As played dont go crazy on these super dynamic boards.
4- to str; 4 - flush, thread lightly my friend! :D
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